{"uid":"cap_6yet0u5tQahblnNr24UbE","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-74e14106","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Ne1zACH8lUIrS9Ms8hfhx","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds on the FOMC cutting interest rates at their next meeting — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment you can see?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? I want the implied Yes and No odds and volume."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — I want to see the orderbook implied probability and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability that the EU AI Act enforcement triggers a major fine in 2025 — what are the live Yes/No odds?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook snapshot including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), 24h trading volume, whale/large-order sentiment signal, and relevant market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — empty or null result returned","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matching multiple markets with mixed results","Rate limiting or payment failure resulting in 402 response","Market has resolved and is no longer active, returning historical rather than live data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events as priced by Polymarket traders — especially when you want market-implied odds (not just news sentiment) and whale order flow signals. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you need a quantitative probability, and over general financial data APIs when the question is event-based rather than price-based.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:23.031Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}