{"uid":"cap_6wz2wx3tzJD8fqqBLfbLU","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-7c1a0ea9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_gliFdewcaTYBqaDQoNqfG","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025, including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession in 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied odds and any whale accumulation signals?"},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for Ethereum ETF approval — I want to see the current implied probability, 24h volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI policy market sentiment","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for a major AI regulation bill passing in the US this year, and what's the overall market sentiment looking like?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, and AI-related events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream data fetch fails","Market exists but has very low liquidity — probabilities may be unreliable","Invalid or empty topic string — returns validation error","Transient network failure to Polymarket orderbook endpoint"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market, especially when you want orderbook-derived Yes/No implied odds, volume context, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need a quantified market-consensus probability rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:22:03.413Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}