{"uid":"cap_6pRQvAoemUjch4AjrAaFK","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-0b47fadc","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_z9-VnvvAWKU2k59zbyCeb","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probability that the Fed will cut interest rates this year — including the current volume and whether whale traders are leaning yes or no?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"Pull up the latest Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $150k by end of year — I want the implied yes/no probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market odds that GPT-5 or a major AI model gets released this quarter? I want the orderbook-implied probability and market volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-trader positioning on the event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the topic — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may return unintended market data","Polymarket API upstream outage — endpoint may return 5xx or stale data","Payment not processed via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required before data is served","Very low-volume or recently closed markets may have incomplete orderbook data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events drawn directly from Polymarket's live orderbook. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs or social media analysis when you want financially-backed, market-implied probabilities rather than qualitative opinion. Best suited for agents that need actionable event probability signals with volume and whale-positioning context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:42.139Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}