{"uid":"cap_6o5ONE_MmngR2SoEbyPmC","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-206697b1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/market-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_uDWhsb-LVUTOCQApEhewP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for the US entering a recession in 2025, including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"Political outcome forecasting","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Republican winning the next presidential election? I want the implied odds and volume."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market data on AI regulation passing in the US this year — I want implied probabilities, orderbook sentiment, and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes probability, implied No probability, total trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the queried event topic.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or unrecognized — no matching Polymarket market found","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or outage","Payment not processed or x402 authorization rejected — call returns 402 error","Market has closed or resolved — historical data may be returned instead of live odds","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return best-guess or require more specific query"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events directly from Polymarket's live orderbooks. Prefer it over static news or sentiment analysis when you want market-implied probabilities with volume and whale-activity signals — especially useful for quantitative decision-making, trading context, or fact-checking narrative sentiment against actual market bets.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:14.521Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}