{"uid":"cap_6XTeWGsG_V4rMCjnlSspS","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1d517ace","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_8CZlrJj1KRsksJRfe03AT","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI-related events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting — also show me any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, and what's the trading volume and whale sentiment looking like?"},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for whether the SEC will approve a spot Ethereum ETF this year — I want to see the Yes/No probabilities and any big-money orderflow signals."},{"title":"AI company milestone betting odds","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket currently pricing in for the chance that OpenAI releases GPT-5 before the end of this year? Show me the implied probabilities and volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket prediction market data including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, whale sentiment or accumulation signals, and related market metadata for the queried topic or event keyword.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or connection error","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple results or best-guess match","Payment failure via x402 protocol — call not executed if USDC micropayment rejected","Stale or low-liquidity market data for niche topics — probabilities may not reflect active trading"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for binary macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events — especially when you want market-implied odds rather than model-generated forecasts. Prefer this over news sentiment APIs when you want actual money-weighted conviction signals, and over static data sources when you need live orderbook depth and whale activity. Best suited for agents making decisions that benefit from knowing what sophisticated traders are collectively pricing in for near-term events.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:46.164Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}