{"uid":"cap_6OyUReBiGEHPDhwgN7_qz","slug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-20e8d49c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_syvxEbqDZ7Nz_QWmSwSaI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://prompt-guard.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Fed rate cut in 2025'? I want to see volume and any whale sentiment too.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the Senate — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto event market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for 'Bitcoin reaches 150k in 2025' — I want the orderbook-implied probability and any whale positioning."},{"title":"Macro event risk assessment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability of a US recession being declared before end of 2025, including trading volume and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic too vague to match a specific market — multiple ambiguous results returned","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream timeout or error","Payment not completed (x402 flow failure) — endpoint returns 402 Payment Required","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns 429 error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from an active prediction market (Polymarket) rather than statistical models or news sentiment. Best for macro events, crypto milestones, political outcomes, and AI events where market-implied probabilities are more useful than analyst forecasts. Prefer this over news APIs when you want monetarily-staked crowd wisdom rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:50:35.406Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"prompt-guard-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ad90764f"}