{"uid":"cap_6-giM4vK6WtnYJTGKSV4M","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0d7b5acd","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-feed?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Hsj_4FP5NoNECSwROOpgu","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before July 2025?' — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that Bitcoin will reach $150,000 before the end of 2025? Give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale activity you can see."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for me — what's the live implied probability of the US entering a recession in 2025, and how much volume is on that market?"},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket prediction market data for 'Will AGI be achieved by 2026?' — I want the Yes/No probabilities and current whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, and whale/large-holder sentiment signals for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or no-match response","Topic too vague or ambiguous, returning multiple unrelated markets","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable, causing stale or failed fetch","Payment not processed (HTTP 402), blocking access to the live feed","Rate limiting or quota exceeded for the endpoint"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events — especially when you want implied probability, trading volume, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over news or social sentiment APIs when you want a market-priced probability signal rather than qualitative opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:51:27.421Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}