{"uid":"cap_5fbHxQmtYbNhOARSgUx5W","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-664430bb","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_w7gWiGta3olg2FcMi675Q","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a Fed rate cut happening in 2025 — and are whales leaning Yes or No?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Pre-trade macro sentiment check","prompt":"Before I make any trades today, what's the Polymarket implied probability of a US recession being declared this year, and what's the current volume and whale sentiment on that market?"},{"title":"Election probability tracking","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the Senate — give me the Yes/No probabilities and any notable orderbook activity."},{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025? I want the Yes/No odds and how much volume is trading on that market."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader behavior on matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return multiple or lowest-relevance result","Payment not processed (402) — endpoint requires $0.01 USDC per call via x402 protocol"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's decentralized prediction market, especially for macro, crypto, political, or AI events where market-implied probabilities and whale sentiment are more actionable than news sentiment or analyst forecasts. Prefer this over general news APIs when you want quantified, monetarily-backed probability signals rather than qualitative coverage.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:26.218Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}