{"uid":"cap_5ZIUvKOe9LT9VWIkeyWQY","slug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e8315b1a","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_nEn45zE2iIEvNfjY_3RRD","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-security.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025?' — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? Include Yes/No odds and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event monitoring","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook odds for 'Will the SEC approve a spot Ethereum ETF by end of 2025?' and tell me what whale sentiment looks like."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now — what are the current odds that OpenAI releases GPT-5 before July 2025? Give me the implied probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total trading volume, and whale/large-order sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream outage causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets, returning mixed or unexpected results","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment is not completed before the request","Rate limiting if too many queries are sent in a short period"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's liquid prediction markets — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, volume data, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news search when you want quantified market consensus rather than qualitative reporting.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:19.025Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-security-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-aed57b37"}