{"uid":"cap_5RLf6aEQEKkYJLNnRGCGd","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-49ad08ec","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_YdkcmYR2Ekc-lw9LhnwSE","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied probabilities right now for a US recession in 2025 — including volume and what the whales are betting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum ETF approval — what's the current implied Yes probability and how much volume is trading on it?"},{"title":"Macro risk sentiment monitoring","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Fed rate cut in Q3 2025? Include the orderbook sentiment and whether whale traders are positioned Yes or No."},{"title":"AI policy prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active markets on US AI regulation or a major AI company antitrust action — what are the latest implied probabilities and trading volumes?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, total market volume, and whale sentiment signals indicating how large traders are positioned on the outcome.","failureModes":["Topic keyword too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-match result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or error response","Payment not processed via x402 — 402 Payment Required response before data is returned","Market has resolved and is no longer live — may return stale or closed market data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from a live prediction market (Polymarket) rather than model-generated forecasts. Ideal for macro, crypto, political, and AI events where you want actual money-backed implied odds, trading volume context, and large-trader sentiment — not just news or analyst opinions.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:31:58.020Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}