{"uid":"cap_5R6L0Vq89-u8ZTCr8M_GH","slug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-412a5adf","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_iKMu7nu2RYqEkwf0OnTFx","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://shopify-spy.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed interest rate cut happening this quarter — and is there any whale accumulation signal in the orderbook?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability of the Republican candidate winning the next US presidential election — including current volume and whale sentiment?"},{"title":"Crypto event prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year, and tell me what the Yes/No probabilities and orderbook pressure look like right now."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"What are traders on Polymarket betting on for the chance that the US passes major AI regulation this year? Give me the implied probabilities and any whale signals."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment/accumulation signals — giving a real-time crowd-sourced probability estimate for the specified event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket market — market may not exist or keyword is too vague","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream dependency failure","Payment not processed — x402 payment required before response is returned","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or an error requiring clarification","Stale orderbook data if Polymarket feed is delayed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro, crypto, election, or AI events — especially when you want both implied probabilities and whale/orderbook sentiment signals in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when quantified market-based probability is needed.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:53.060Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"shopify-spy-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b27235e4"}