{"uid":"cap_5N_DuaW24EwgWKrK3dR0Q","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-641f450d","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_lBn4HSVrP8I1NwVfpzqKK","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now on a US recession happening in 2025 — give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and any whale sentiment data?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum ETFs get approved in the US this quarter? Show me the Yes/No odds and volume."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on the Fed cutting interest rates at their next meeting — I want to see what the market is pricing in right now."},{"title":"Election outcome prediction odds","prompt":"What are Polymarket traders currently betting on for the 2026 US midterm elections — give me the implied probabilities and any big whale positions you can see."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-position activity on the relevant prediction market.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API upstream unavailable — may return 5xx or timeout","Ambiguous topic resolves to multiple markets — response may include multiple or unexpected markets","Payment failure via x402 protocol — endpoint returns 402 if USDC micropayment not completed","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns 429 error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events sourced directly from Polymarket's live orderbook. It is preferable over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities reflecting actual money at risk, and over generic financial APIs when prediction market data specifically is required.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:19:17.974Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}