{"uid":"cap_55vfb7DIPaq5ko5ho6K11","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d3759960","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_17Nfh9XjeQmIQHHF4po6o","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Fed rate cut in 2025' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for 'Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year' — I want the implied Yes probability, current volume, and any whale activity."},{"title":"Election outcome odds monitoring","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket prediction market probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election? Give me Yes/No implied odds and recent trading volume."},{"title":"AI regulation market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around AI regulation or an AI safety bill passing — what are the current odds and whale sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for matching prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream timeout or error response","Topic too vague or ambiguous — returns multiple unrelated markets or low-confidence match","Payment failure via x402 — 402 response if USDC payment is not properly attached","Stale data if Polymarket orderbook has low liquidity or the market has resolved"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction markets for macro, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, volume, and whale-level sentiment rather than just news or analyst opinions. Prefer this over general news APIs or sentiment tools when you need quantified market consensus probabilities backed by actual money at stake.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:34.453Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}