{"uid":"cap_5-OfYsqQ52mxyYdUtRIFI","slug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-95b9c1f1","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_vvEK-zioA1Mf9RBnDL_dO","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://github-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for the Fed cutting interest rates in September — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and what the whales are doing?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of Ethereum flipping Bitcoin in market cap this year — I want the live Yes/No odds and trading volume."},{"title":"Political election odds lookup","prompt":"Pull the latest Polymarket odds for the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the Senate — I want implied probabilities and whale sentiment right now."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds on a major AI regulation bill passing in the US in 2025? Give me the current Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind it."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return incorrect or mixed results","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion returning an error response"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from active prediction market traders on Polymarket, especially for macro, crypto, political, or AI events. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and whale-level position data.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:39:33.824Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"github-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-4c3229d4"}