{"uid":"cap_4zalUxq8U_nL5WQUZH9E9","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-723724ee","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_XpcQMONPdTO__k7muBaiv","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval this quarter — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability for the Republican candidate winning the 2026 midterms? Include volume and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto price target prediction","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Ethereum hitting $5,000 before end of year — what's the Yes probability and how much volume is on this market?"},{"title":"Fed rate decision market sentiment","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now for the implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates at the next FOMC meeting and tell me if whales are leaning Yes or No."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Polymarket API or upstream data feed is temporarily unavailable — returns service error","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or require refinement","Payment of $0.01 USDC via x402 fails — request is rejected with 402 Payment Required"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want both implied probabilities and whale sentiment in one call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you specifically need prediction market consensus odds backed by on-chain trading volume.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:21.750Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}