{"uid":"cap_3C8H1HXm1_zt8SyIc0YD6","slug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-6f2346e5","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_aiZBTKRefgaRt2-Xu5E1H","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://sec-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for the FOMC rate cut decision at the next Fed meeting?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds check","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in for a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — give me the implied Yes and No probabilities and the trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto event probability lookup","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me the implied probability that Bitcoin hits $100k before the end of the year, including any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI regulation event monitoring","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds for a major US AI regulation bill passing this year? I want to see the orderbook sentiment and current implied probabilities."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities expressed as decimals or percentages, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or null results","Ambiguous topic string maps to multiple markets — may return the wrong event's odds","Polymarket API downtime causes stale or unavailable data","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC micropayment is not completed","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when an agent needs real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from the Polymarket prediction market, including orderbook depth and whale sentiment — particularly when you want market-implied probabilities rather than analyst forecasts or news sentiment. Prefer this over generic news search when you need a quantified probability signal derived from actual money at risk.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:43.115Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"sec-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-35a65946"}