{"uid":"cap_37nJ3-L2ahxZ2FmRxdF7B","slug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-b285990f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__h-S9ULT3mqI-IEZimSHh","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mcp-compiler.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for the Fed cutting interest rates at the next FOMC meeting — including the implied yes/no probability and any whale sentiment signal?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for whether the Fed will cut rates at the next FOMC meeting — I want the implied yes and no probabilities and any volume data."},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability for a spot Bitcoin ETF approval this quarter? Include trading volume and whale sentiment if available."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market query","prompt":"Check Polymarket for live odds on the US passing major AI regulation legislation this year — what's the yes probability and how much volume is there?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as decimals or percentages), total trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators reflecting large-position trader activity.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Topic string too vague to resolve a specific market — ambiguous results returned","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or missing data","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting if the endpoint is called too frequently"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket's prediction market for macro events (Fed rate decisions, elections), crypto milestones, or AI-related events. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money and volume data, especially with whale sentiment signals unavailable elsewhere.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:41.354Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mcp-compiler-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f961a087"}