{"uid":"cap_2mbCcZJ2HWAJX0VYhqip0","slug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-7e33d224","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds)","url":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev/v1/crypto-betting-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_dT-jaBXwkEOOZUZSCjELP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://hn-pulse.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events given a topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a Bitcoin ETF approval this year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of Ethereum hitting $10k this year? Give me the implied Yes probability and trading volume."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in Q3 — I want the Yes/No implied probabilities and any whale activity."},{"title":"AI regulation odds lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that the EU AI Act enforcement leads to a major tech fine this year? Show me the orderbook implied probability and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Topic string too vague or ambiguous — may return unrelated markets","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causes upstream fetch failure","Payment not completed (HTTP 402) — endpoint requires $0.015 USDC per call via x402","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket orderbook updates are lagging"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket prediction markets — especially when you want implied Yes/No probabilities, orderbook depth, volume, and large-trader (whale) sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over generic news or sentiment APIs when you want market-priced probability rather than editorial opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:32.037Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"hn-pulse-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-3dbe38ae"}