{"uid":"cap_2YxkaYCXR3fbkNob-haHk","slug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a0ad3795","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_KkSEUX3cbnfXRTFRL91de","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://onchain-risk.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for 'Bitcoin ETF approval' — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on a US recession happening in 2025 — I want the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of Ethereum reaching $5,000 this year? Give me the orderbook-implied odds and recent volume."},{"title":"AI policy event monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current market odds on a major US AI regulation bill passing in 2025 — I need the Yes probability and whale activity."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume figures, and whale sentiment indicators that reflect large-trader positioning on the event outcome.","failureModes":["Topic keyword matches no active Polymarket market — returns empty or no-results response","Polymarket API or data feed is temporarily unavailable — service may return an error or stale data","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or unexpected markets","Payment not processed (x402 flow failure) — endpoint returns 402 before delivering data","Rate limiting or quota exceeded — returns error after repeated rapid calls"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates from a live decentralized prediction market (Polymarket) rather than model-generated forecasts or news sentiment. Ideal for macro, crypto, and AI-policy events where market-implied probabilities and whale positioning provide unique signal unavailable from traditional data sources.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:30:17.936Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"onchain-risk-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-f374aea4"}