{"uid":"cap_2LdfSvXZnJ0edN5SA72I9","slug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eaed648","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_t6vTPuHl5TFEbAzBKVfxI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://token-intel.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches real-time Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given prediction market topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for a Fed interest rate cut happening before the end of this year — and is there any whale activity on that market?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a Bitcoin spot ETF being approved in the next 3 months? Give me the Yes/No implied probabilities and recent volume."},{"title":"Election outcome market sentiment","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on who wins the next US presidential election — I want the implied probabilities and any notable whale activity."},{"title":"AI milestone market forecasting","prompt":"What's the current market-implied probability on Polymarket that GPT-5 or a major frontier AI model gets released this quarter? Include volume and orderbook sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns real-time Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as decimal percentages), total trading volume, and a whale sentiment signal derived from large-order activity. The response reflects live market conditions at time of request.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is experiencing downtime","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the most popular match or require disambiguation","Payment failure if x402 USDC micropayment is not correctly processed","Rate limiting or timeout if Polymarket upstream is under heavy load"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time, crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — specifically sourced from Polymarket's orderbook. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want market-implied probability (with real money at stake) rather than social media sentiment. Best suited for agents making decisions based on event probability, risk assessment, or market intelligence.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T06:35:18.440Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"token-intel-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ffd4a29"}