{"uid":"cap_2Hin5zFBd-QMYaiPgr5zs","slug":"kalshi-eth-hourly-signal-b2dcf6fc","name":"Kalshi ETH Hourly Signal","description":"Live directional read from a real-money Kalshi ETH hourly (KXETHD) trading model (same volatility model as the BTC signal): current near-the-money strike, model probability vs market price, and computed edge. Informational model output, not investment advice — the strategy's real historical win rate / P&L is public at the bot's dashboard, good and bad stretches included.","url":"https://backend-production-69ff.up.railway.app/x402/signal/eth-hourly?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"note":null,"spot":2450,"signal":{"edge":0.11,"side":"yes","strike":2449.99,"closeTime":"2026-10-03T18:00:00.000Z","eventTicker":"KXETHD-26OCT0318","marketTicker":"KXETHD-26OCT0318-T2449.99","modelProbability":0.71,"marketProbability":0.6},"generatedAt":"2026-10-03T19:00:00.000Z","annualizedVolatility":0.42}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.02","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.02/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.02","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_YYdVsJuGlY2bOBdKGeUru","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.02","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns a live directional trading signal for ETH on Kalshi hourly prediction markets, including near-the-money strike, model vs market probability, and computed edge.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the current Kalshi ETH hourly signal — tell me the near-the-money strike, the model probability versus market price, and whether there's positive edge right now?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Real-time ETH trading edge check","prompt":"Pull the latest Kalshi ETH hourly signal and tell me if the model sees positive edge on the yes side right now, including the strike and how far the model probability is from the market price."},{"title":"Automated Kalshi ETH signal monitor","prompt":"Every hour, check the Kalshi ETH signal and alert me whenever the computed edge is above 0.1 so I can consider placing a trade."},{"title":"ETH market probability divergence review","prompt":"I want to see the current ETH Kalshi model probability versus what the market is pricing in — what's the strike, what side is the signal on, and how big is the gap?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing: current ETH spot price, signal details (side: yes/no, strike price, model probability, market probability, edge), the Kalshi event and market ticker, contract close time, annualized volatility, and the timestamp when the signal was generated. An optional note field may carry additional context.","failureModes":["No active Kalshi ETH hourly market — signal may be null or note field may explain unavailability","Stale signal if the model has not refreshed for the current hour","Upstream Kalshi API outage causing signal generation failure","Payment failure (x402) if USDC balance or payment header is not provided correctly"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you specifically need a live, model-driven directional signal for ETH on Kalshi hourly prediction markets with a quantified edge. It is distinct from generic crypto price feeds because it provides model probability vs market probability comparison and computed edge, not just spot price. Use it over the BTC or SOL siblings when your focus is ETH. Best for trading agents, monitoring bots, or dashboards that act on Kalshi prediction market mispricings.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-17T06:34:25.742Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"kalshi-eth-hourly-signal-b2dcf6fc"}