{"uid":"cap_25EXBJ0frkKS-pel_cblA","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-c17b3f5f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_FBkBG_-VYFxFALNT7KMJi","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for Bitcoin reaching $100k by end of year — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of the Democratic candidate winning the 2024 US presidential election — give me the Yes/No implied odds and recent volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulatory event odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for a spot Ethereum ETF being approved this quarter, including what whale traders are positioning on."},{"title":"Fed rate cut probability tracking","prompt":"What is the current Polymarket implied probability that the Fed cuts interest rates at its next meeting? I want the Yes and No odds and how much volume is behind it."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), trading volume, whale accumulation/sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried event or topic.","failureModes":["Topic keyword does not match any active Polymarket market — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream data lag or outage","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple or unintended markets","Rate limiting or payment failure due to x402 protocol issues — request not processed","Very niche or newly created markets may have low liquidity and unreliable probability data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, crowdsourced market-implied probabilities for macro, crypto, or political events — especially when you want the wisdom-of-crowds signal from Polymarket rather than model-generated forecasts. Prefer this over general news search when you need a quantified probability with volume backing and whale sentiment context.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:34:51.662Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}