{"uid":"cap_1qJh7tY6Kbz63Ly1M2khY","slug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-faf1b205","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_JoaanLovr8ZyBFE9AGmfe","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://workflows.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given event topic or keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a US recession happening in 2025 — and are whales leaning Yes or No?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that the Republican candidate wins the 2026 midterms, and what's the trading volume and whale sentiment on that market?"},{"title":"Crypto event market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin hitting $150k by end of 2025 — I want to know the Yes probability and whether big players are buying Yes or No."},{"title":"Fed rate decision market signal","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of the Fed cutting rates at the next FOMC meeting? Show me the orderbook sentiment and volume too."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, total market volume, and whale sentiment indicators (large-position buy/sell pressure), enabling agents to assess crowd-sourced event probabilities in real time.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale data if Polymarket API is experiencing downtime or rate limits","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — results may be for wrong market","Payment failure (HTTP 402) if USDC balance is insufficient for the $0.01 per-call fee","Generic 500 error if the upstream Polymarket orderbook API is unavailable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events from Polymarket's live orderbooks, especially when whale sentiment and volume context matter. Prefer this over static news or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities rather than opinion-based assessments.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:21.742Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"workflows-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-8cd613ff"}