{"uid":"cap_1b2uA60MdaPaIgei9QdW8","slug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-981468ae","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_ftxgOs4_Y5PaRg1OHblIg","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://llms-generator.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, Yes/No implied probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for a Fed interest rate cut in 2025, including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the live Yes/No odds and volume."},{"title":"Crypto regulation market odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market data for a US spot Ethereum ETF approval — I want the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI event probability tracking","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that a major AI model surpasses human expert performance on a new benchmark this year? Show me the Yes/No probabilities and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators derived from large-order activity.","failureModes":["Topic too vague or not matching any active Polymarket market — returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API downtime or rate limiting causing stale or failed data fetch","Payment failure via x402 protocol resulting in 402 response and no data returned","Topic keyword ambiguous, matching multiple unrelated markets and returning mixed data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-wisdom probability estimates for specific events (macro, crypto, AI, political) as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over static news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by financial stakes and whale order flow.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:29.409Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"llms-generator-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-9c5c136c"}