{"uid":"cap_1Vp7ZEhnCxjhxNDAl3qTe","slug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5e6c033c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle)","url":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-oracle?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Um9sRrjZ6AA8yXekNwJAU","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://serp-extract.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates in Q3 2025?' — including volume and any whale sentiment signals?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the implied Yes/No odds and overall trading volume."},{"title":"Crypto price prediction market lookup","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — I want the implied probability, volume, and whether whales are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI regulation event forecasting","prompt":"What are traders betting on Polymarket regarding the EU AI Act enforcement leading to major fines in 2025? Give me the current odds and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market volume, and whale accumulation or sentiment signals relevant to the specified event or question.","failureModes":["Topic too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or error response","Polymarket API or orderbook data temporarily unavailable — upstream failure","Rate limiting or payment failure (HTTP 402) if x402 USDC payment is not properly attached","Topic string too short (violates minLength:1) — validation error","Market for queried event has closed or expired — stale or no data returned"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific events — especially macro, crypto, or AI/political outcomes — and want not just odds but also volume and whale sentiment context. Prefer this over general news search when you need a quantified probability signal rather than qualitative commentary, and over on-chain DEX tools when the question is about event outcomes rather than token prices.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-23T06:36:05.441Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"serp-extract-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-375efa4d"}