{"uid":"cap_1UD3Q7ux2cRkMALPEShcS","slug":"crypto-forecast-range-upside-probability-29018ea3","name":"Crypto Forecast Range & Upside Probability","description":"Returns a conformally-calibrated range_80 price interval (~80% empirical coverage) plus current_price and upside_probability for BTC/ETH/SOL/XRP/ADA — use the range for planning instead of a single point prediction.","url":"https://crypto.forgemesh.io/api/kronos/forecast","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","properties":{"symbol":{"type":"string"}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object","properties":{"symbol":{"type":"string"},"range_80":{"type":"object"},"why_not_high":{"type":"array"},"upside_probability":{"type":"number"}}}}}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"symbol":"BTC/USD","horizon":"~5h","range_80":{"low":60275,"high":62806,"method":"conformal","coverage_target":0.8},"why_not_high":["The calibrated interval is designed for approximate coverage, not certainty; some realized prices can still land outside the range."],"current_price":61234.5,"upside_probability":0.52}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.05","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.05/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.05","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Yt5BRfGGLU1Il_20UoOG2","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.05","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns a conformally-calibrated 80% price interval, current price, and upside probability for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, or ADA.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What's the calibrated 80% price range and upside probability for ETH right now — I want the interval, not just a single price target.","exampleUseCases":null,"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object with: symbol, range_80 (object with lower and upper price bounds calibrated for ~80% empirical coverage), current_price, upside_probability (float 0-1), and why_not_high (array of factors limiting upside). Designed for planning against a range rather than a point estimate.","failureModes":["Unsupported symbol provided — only BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA are accepted","Missing or malformed symbol query parameter returns error","Payment failure (x402) if USDC payment not processed correctly","Stale data if underlying signal pipeline lags — check data_freshness on companion endpoint","Network timeout if upstream data sources are unavailable"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a probabilistic price range rather than a point forecast, especially for position sizing, risk management, or planning thresholds. Prefer this over a single-price prediction endpoint when calibrated coverage and upside probability are needed. Best for BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, or ADA; not for stocks or other assets.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-13T18:38:01.756Z","isFirstParty":false}