{"uid":"cap_1AyCfZ2wwXsxRkgZX04mR","slug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-a6e8265f","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/api)","url":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev/api?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_2GAL9evXhO3Kt92N1nnJO","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://polymarket-odds.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by end of 2025 — include volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability tracking","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the probability of a US recession in 2025? Give me the implied Yes and No odds, volume, and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Crypto milestone prediction odds","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Ethereum surpassing $10,000 this year — I want the orderbook implied probabilities and current trading volume."},{"title":"AI milestone market intelligence","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds that GPT-5 or a comparable frontier AI model gets released before the end of this quarter? Show me the Yes/No probabilities and whale orderflow."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, current market volume, whale sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the queried prediction market topic or event.","failureModes":["Topic too vague or ambiguous — no matching Polymarket market found, returns empty or low-confidence results","Polymarket API or upstream data source is temporarily unavailable — may return stale or error response","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 returned if x402 micropayment fails or is not included","Rate limiting or repeated identical queries without idempotency key may result in duplicate charges","Topic keyword matches multiple markets — response may aggregate or return the most liquid match without disambiguation"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-derived probability estimates from actual money-at-stake prediction markets rather than opinion polls or model forecasts. Ideal for macro events, crypto milestones, AI developments, or political outcomes where Polymarket has active liquidity. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you want quantified probability and orderbook depth with whale-level signals.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-28T00:35:56.885Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-odds-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-adef025d"}