{"uid":"cap_19RUdi5H9f2j5kf7wLWQ0","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Vt6mMpN5PrdIeHw98dfOB","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic keyword or event question.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Bitcoin ETF approval in 2025' — include volume and whale sentiment if available?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election probability tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket right now and tell me the implied probability that the Republican candidate wins the 2026 midterm elections — I want the current Yes/No odds and how much volume has traded."},{"title":"Crypto price milestone odds","prompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market odds that Ethereum hits $5,000 before the end of 2025? Give me the orderbook probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Macro policy event sentiment","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds on whether the Fed cuts interest rates in September 2025 — I need the implied probability and recent trading volume to gauge market sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals reflecting large-position holder behavior for macro, crypto, political, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket market — empty or null result set","Polymarket API upstream outage causes stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets with conflicting results","Payment failure via x402 prevents endpoint access","Rate limiting if too many queries are made in rapid succession"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for specific future events — especially macro, crypto, political, or AI topics — and want to go beyond simple news or social sentiment by accessing actual financial market orderbook data from Polymarket. Prefer this over social sentiment APIs when you want monetarily-weighted crowd forecasts rather than opinion counts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:44:18.835Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}