{"uid":"cap_11YcRhYb1gB3V2SYwucql","slug":"delx-implied-from-yes-no-a1179201","name":"Delx Implied From Yes/No","description":"Normalize yes/no prices into implied probabilities. Call when two-sided prediction markets quoted as separate yes and no. Returns normalized yes/no probs as deterministic JSON for $0.001 USDC via x402 on Base. First-party local math only—no RPC, live market feed, API keys, storage, or mediagen. Advisory only; the caller owns capital, risk, and production controls.","url":"https://api.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/implied-from-yes-no","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"no":{"type":"number","description":"Input field: no."},"yes":{"type":"number","description":"Input field: yes."}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"p_no":0.5961538461538461,"p_yes":0.4038461538461538,"schema":"delx/util-implied-from-yes-no/v1","overround":0.04000000000000004}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.001","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.001/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.001","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.001","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_Upuwq_100g4Mrg5aCfiF1","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.001","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Converts raw yes/no vote counts into implied probabilities, returning calibrated p_yes and p_no with overround disclosure.","exampleAgentPrompt":"I have 52 'yes' votes and 74 'no' votes from a poll — can you calculate the implied probability for each outcome and tell me the overround?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Binary poll result normalization","prompt":"We ran a quick survey and got 120 yes responses and 180 no responses. Can you convert those into implied probabilities for yes and no, and also tell me the overround?"},{"title":"Prediction market probability derivation","prompt":"In our internal prediction market, yes contracts are priced at 2.6 and no contracts at 1.7. Convert those into implied probabilities for me, including the overround."},{"title":"Agent decision gate on binary signal","prompt":"My agent collected 33 yes signals and 47 no signals from data sources. Work out the implied probability for each side so I can decide which path to take, and flag the overround."}],"resultDescription":"A JSON object with p_yes (float), p_no (float), schema identifier string ('delx/util-implied-from-yes-no/v1'), and overround (float representing the total probability excess above 1.0, indicating implied market margin).","failureModes":["Missing or non-numeric yes/no values returns a validation error","Both yes and no equal zero causes division-by-zero or undefined probability","Negative input values may return an error or unexpected results","Non-numeric strings in yes or no fields return a 400-level error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you have raw binary vote, odds, or count data and need normalized implied probabilities with explicit overround disclosure, particularly in prediction market, polling, or binary classification contexts where calibration and margin transparency matter.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-15T07:13:44.984Z","isFirstParty":false}