{"uid":"cap_0xf9AfyMc1gysJzWC6QVE","slug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-eaee9056","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds)","url":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev/v1/fomc-rate-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_i1pdol1ECuXhXR4_LLL7i","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://defi-yield.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for any macro, crypto, or AI prediction market event by topic keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Pull the current orderbook data and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"FOMC rate decision odds check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? Include volume and any whale activity."},{"title":"Crypto ETF approval probability","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket odds for a Solana spot ETF being approved this year — what's the implied Yes probability and how much volume is on that market?"},{"title":"Election outcome market monitoring","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket prediction market odds for the 2026 US midterm elections flipping the Senate — what are the Yes/No probabilities and is there any notable whale sentiment?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), total trading volume, whale/large-trader sentiment signals, and relevant market metadata for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null result","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is experiencing latency","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return the wrong market","Payment failure via x402 protocol if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or service unavailability returning HTTP 402 or 5xx errors"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, political, or AI events as priced by actual money on Polymarket. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real capital. Especially useful for FOMC rate decisions, crypto regulatory events, election outcomes, and AI milestone predictions where prediction market consensus is a meaningful signal.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:40.238Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"defi-yield-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5eb33d8e"}