{"uid":"cap_0mPfWICANihjZDK51WQif","slug":"x402broker-com-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-411b353c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402broker.com/v1/prediction-markets)","url":"https://x402broker.com/v1/prediction-markets?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm__h9UCNdRbtnioefxevSBN","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402broker.com","brandSlug":"x402broker-com-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402broker.com","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given topic or event keyword.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probability for a US recession happening this year — include volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"Pull the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for the 2024 US presidential election — I want to know what prediction markets are pricing in right now including any big whale positions."},{"title":"Crypto price target market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket say about the probability of Bitcoin hitting $100k before year end? Give me the live orderbook, Yes/No implied probability, and volume."},{"title":"Fed rate cut macro event tracking","prompt":"Check the live Polymarket prediction market for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting — what are the current implied odds and is there any unusual whale activity?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, AI, or geopolitical events.","failureModes":["No matching market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null market data","Stale or delayed data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return aggregated or top-ranked result","Payment failure via x402 protocol — endpoint returns HTTP 402 if USDC payment is not properly initiated","Rate limiting or quota exhaustion for high-frequency queries"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time prediction market crowd wisdom and implied probabilities from Polymarket specifically, including orderbook depth and whale sentiment — particularly for crypto, macro, AI, geopolitical, or election events where market-derived probabilities are more useful than news sentiment or model forecasts.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:48:27.761Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-probability-feed-42c8334c"}