{"uid":"cap_0cqNsiyt8D7rhiSxOsu5V","slug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-9280addb","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds)","url":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev/v1/geopolitical-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_sh_KD9YiHSGiXRMpRw3pB","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://mesh.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for 'Will the Fed cut rates before September 2025?' — include volume and whale sentiment if available.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds on whether Bitcoin will hit $100K by end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes/No probability and current trading volume."},{"title":"Election outcome market odds","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the probability of a Republican winning the 2026 midterms? Give me the orderbook implied odds and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI regulation prediction market","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current probability that the EU AI Act enforcement triggers a major fine in 2025 — what are the Yes/No odds and how liquid is that market?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured response containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes probability, implied No probability, current trading volume, and whale/large-position sentiment signals for the matched prediction market event.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or null odds","Polymarket API upstream outage causing stale or unavailable data","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple unrelated markets","Payment required (HTTP 402) if x402 micropayment header is not included","Rate limiting or throttling if called too frequently"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, geopolitical, crypto, or AI events directly from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want monetarily-backed market-implied probabilities rather than opinion-based signals. Best for agents that need live Yes/No odds with volume and whale activity for event-driven decision making.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:45:15.033Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"mesh-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-e22ddf45"}