{"uid":"cap_0b6BUA0X-7QARc69PTgjY","slug":"financial-data-x402-prediction-market-data-e507e836","name":"Financial Data x402 – Prediction Market Data","description":"Pay-per-call stock, macro, on-chain, and crypto data over the x402 protocol. USDC on Base or Solana, no API keys, no subscriptions.","url":"https://x402financialdata.com/prediction-market/%7Bsource%7D/%7Bmarket_id%7D","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"properties":{"type":"string"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"id":"fed-rate-hike-in-2026","title":"Fed rate hike in 2026?","source":"polymarket","status":"active","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","probability":0.615},{"name":"No","probability":0.385}],"close_date":"2026-12-09T00:00:00Z","volume_usd":5645666.92,"volume_24h_usd":624904.36}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_DIZ138vxuuyuL5roQZ2V-","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live prediction market data (probabilities, volume, status) for a specific market from a given source such as Polymarket, paying per call via x402 protocol with USDC.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds for 'fed-rate-hike-in-2026'? Pull the live probabilities, volume, and status for that market.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Macro event probability tracker","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket probability that the Fed hikes rates in 2026? Give me the yes/no odds, total volume, and whether the market is still active."},{"title":"Prediction market research for a newsletter","prompt":"I'm writing about crowd-sourced forecasts — pull the latest probabilities and 24-hour trading volume for the Polymarket market with ID 'us-recession-2025' so I can cite current numbers."},{"title":"Alert when market probability crosses threshold","prompt":"Check the Polymarket prediction market for 'btc-etf-approval-2025' and tell me the current probability for Yes — I want to know if it's moved above 70%."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object containing the market ID, title, data source, current status (active/resolved), outcome names with their current probabilities, closing date, total USD volume, and 24-hour USD trading volume.","failureModes":["Invalid source name returns an error or empty result","Unknown market_id returns 404 or empty response","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Market may be resolved/closed — status field indicates this","Network latency from upstream prediction market data provider"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, political, or crypto events from prediction markets like Polymarket, without needing an API key or subscription — especially when paying programmatically per call via x402 USDC on Base or Solana.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-09-13T06:54:22.672Z","isFirstParty":false}