{"uid":"cap_0IyOcj07iVWTZSimhhLd1","slug":"polymarket-smart-money-market-analysis-adb236f6","name":"Polymarket Smart Money Market Analysis","description":"Polymarket smart money for one market: the biggest holders on each side, each scored for skill (edge, win rate, ROI), plus which way skilled money leans and whether it agrees with the market's odds. Accepts a market link, slug or condition ID. Data, not investment advice.","url":"https://www.x402pulse.dev/v1/smart-money?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","$schema":"https://json-schema.org/draft/2020-12/schema","required":["input"],"properties":{"input":{"type":"object","required":["type","method"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string","const":"http"},"method":{"enum":["GET"],"type":"string"},"queryParams":{"type":"object","required":["market"],"properties":{"market":{"type":"string","description":"Polymarket market URL, slug or condition ID"}}}},"additionalProperties":false},"output":{"type":"object","required":["type"],"properties":{"type":{"type":"string"},"example":{"type":"object"}}}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"data":{"lean":{"share":0.72,"stance":"more confident than","outcome":"Yes","vsMarket":0.31,"marketPrice":0.41},"sides":[],"summary":"Skilled holders lean Yes (72% of skill-weighted money, from 4 skilled holders), more confident than the market's 41%.","outcomes":[{"name":"Yes","price":0.41},{"name":"No","price":0.59}],"question":"Example market?"},"cached":false}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.0875","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.0875/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.0875","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.0875","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_5B2xzWcu2kJ1HOpizJBVE","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.0875","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Returns the biggest holders on each side of a Polymarket market, each scored for skill (edge, win rate, ROI), plus which way skilled money leans and whether it agrees with the market's implied odds.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Look up the smart money breakdown on this Polymarket market — https://polymarket.com/event/us-recession-2025 — and tell me who the biggest skilled traders are on each side, how their win rates compare, and whether the sharp money is aligned with the current odds.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election market smart money check","prompt":"Pull up the smart money analysis for the Polymarket market on the 2024 US election winner — give me the top skilled holders on each side, their ROI and edge scores, and whether the sharp money agrees with the current market probability."},{"title":"Sports event contrarian signal hunt","prompt":"For this Polymarket market on the Super Bowl winner, show me which way the skilled whales are positioned and whether they're betting against the current odds — I want to know if there's a contrarian smart money signal."},{"title":"Research an unfamiliar market before trading","prompt":"I'm about to trade on this Polymarket market about Federal Reserve rate cuts — can you check who the biggest skilled traders are on each side and tell me if smart money is aligned with the market price or diverging from it?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns the largest position holders on both the YES and NO sides of the specified Polymarket market, each annotated with a skill score (0-100), edge over the odds paid, win rate, and ROI. Also includes a directional signal showing which way skilled money collectively leans and whether that direction agrees or disagrees with the market's implied probability.","failureModes":["Invalid or unrecognized market URL/slug/condition ID returns an error","Market with insufficient trading history may yield incomplete skill scores","Very new or illiquid markets may have no scoreable traders","Payment failure (insufficient USDC) results in 402 response","Market may have closed or resolved, returning stale or empty data"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need a per-market deep-dive into which specific skilled traders are holding positions and how their credentials stack up, rather than a broad scan of disagreements across many markets or a feed of recent large trades. It is the right choice when a user has a specific market in mind and wants to understand the skill-weighted sentiment and alignment with current odds for that exact market.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-12T18:43:58.573Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"polymarket-smart-money-market-analysis-adb236f6"}