{"uid":"cap_0I52gJUKElPFIYdaUN2Ex","slug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-0cae0680","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream)","url":"https://agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-prediction-stream?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.01/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.01","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_d8ii4yt9I_BnFbMvJkj9s","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.01","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data including implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro, crypto, and AI prediction market events.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds right now for Bitcoin reaching $150k by end of 2025 — give me the implied Yes/No probabilities and any whale sentiment signals.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto price milestone probability check","prompt":"What's the current Polymarket implied probability that Ethereum flips Bitcoin in market cap this year? Show me the Yes/No odds and volume."},{"title":"US election outcome prediction odds","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook for the 2026 midterm elections — what are traders currently pricing in for a Republican House majority?"},{"title":"Fed rate cut market sentiment","prompt":"What are the Polymarket odds right now that the Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points at the next FOMC meeting? I want the implied probabilities and whale sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages or decimals), current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals for relevant macro, crypto, or AI prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic keyword — returns empty or null results","Stale or unavailable orderbook data if Polymarket API is down","Ambiguous topic keyword matching multiple markets — may return incorrect market","Payment failure via x402 if USDC balance is insufficient","Rate limiting or timeout if queried at high frequency"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for macro, crypto, or AI events from Polymarket's prediction market orderbooks. Prefer this over news sentiment or analyst forecasts when you want market-implied probabilities backed by real money. It is especially useful for events like Fed decisions, crypto price milestones, elections, and AI regulation where Polymarket has active liquidity.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:25:46.306Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-implied-8f79413d"}