{"uid":"cap_0D3AdDYrejN68podGUGkh","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1701ec72","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_JNBNIQywGIUvsNjud3KLP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a Fed rate cut happening before the end of 2025, including whale sentiment and trading volume?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull up the current Polymarket odds and implied probabilities for Bitcoin hitting $100k by end of year — I want to see the Yes/No split and how much volume is behind it."},{"title":"Macro policy market sentiment","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of a US recession in 2025? Give me the implied probability, current volume, and whether big players are leaning Yes or No."},{"title":"AI milestone prediction tracking","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the latest implied odds on GPT-5 or a major frontier AI model being released before July 2025, including any whale activity you can see."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities (as percentages), current trading volume, and whale/large-trader sentiment indicators for the matching prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic keyword returns no matching Polymarket market — response may be empty or return a best-guess partial match","Stale or delayed orderbook data if Polymarket API is temporarily unavailable","Ambiguous topic string matches multiple markets — response may include multiple markets or pick the most relevant one","Payment failure or 402 response if x402 USDC micropayment is not completed","Rate limiting if the endpoint is called too frequently"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability data for macro, crypto, geopolitical, or AI events from Polymarket — especially when you want implied market odds, volume context, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when you need a quantified probability estimate backed by financial stakes.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:23:35.054Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}