{"uid":"cap_0Afa3OH0TYvuQ_sPYstlK","slug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-be9a0ffe","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities)","url":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev/v1/event-probabilities?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_eEFCUcs5TH8HBNY_2ibB8","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://domain-osint.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening this year — including current volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Crypto event probability check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket odds for Bitcoin ETF approval — what's the implied Yes probability and how much volume is trading on it right now?"},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently say about the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in Q3? Give me the implied probabilities and any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"AI event market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for any active prediction markets around OpenAI releasing GPT-5 this year — what are the Yes/No odds and the current orderbook volume?"}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for macro, crypto, or AI-related prediction market events.","failureModes":["No matching Polymarket market found for the given topic — returns empty or low-confidence result","Topic query too vague or ambiguous — may return unrelated markets","Polymarket data temporarily unavailable — upstream API outage","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — returns 402 Payment Required","Stale or delayed data if orderbook has low liquidity"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, crypto, political, or AI events — especially when you want implied Yes/No odds, volume data, and whale sentiment in a single call. Prefer this over general news or sentiment APIs when the user specifically wants prediction market consensus or is making decisions informed by crowd-sourced probability pricing.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:34.706Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"domain-osint-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-db725fb9"}