{"uid":"cap_068hopVLHWt5XrD1qBmOs","slug":"delx-commerce-bitcoin-15-minute-up-down-prediction-37c730f3","name":"Delx Commerce — Bitcoin 15-Minute Up/Down Prediction","description":"Pay-per-result APIs for agents. No signup. Exact price. Verifiable delivery. USDC on Base + Solana via x402.","url":"https://commerce.delx.ai/api/v1/x402/bitcoin-up-down-15m?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"POST","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","properties":{"fee_bps":{"type":"integer","maximum":1000,"minimum":0},"observations":{"type":"array","items":{"type":"object","required":["timestamp","price"],"properties":{"price":{"type":"number","maximum":1000000000000000,"minimum":1e-12},"timestamp":{"type":"integer","minimum":1}},"additionalProperties":false},"maxItems":240,"minItems":8},"market_up_price":{"type":"number","maximum":1,"minimum":0},"market_down_price":{"type":"number","maximum":1,"minimum":0},"window_open_price":{"type":"number","maximum":1000000000000000,"minimum":1e-12},"window_close_timestamp":{"type":"integer","minimum":1}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"json","example":{"asset":"BTC","model":{"version":"delx-local-updown-v1","no_live_market_data":true,"probability_is_uncalibrated":true,"deterministic_for_same_input":true},"schema":"delx/prediction-updown-estimate/v1","status":"estimate","estimate":{"lean":"up","p_up":0.800406,"p_down":0.199594},"warnings":["caller_supplied_prices_not_verified","probability_is_uncalibrated","not_trading_advice"],"data_quality":{"label":"adequate_input_coverage","score":0.754056,"observations_used":8},"horizon_minutes":15,"input_provenance":"caller_supplied"}},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":["x402"],"displayCostAmount":"0.003","displayCostAsset":"USDC","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.003/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.003","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"x402","network":"base","amountUsd":"0.003","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_OiNWdt79GeiXEhQwtC2x_","protocol":"x402","methodType":"crypto","chain":"base","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.003","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fCD6eDb6E08f4c7C32D4f71b54bdA02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":null,"brandSlug":null,"brandBaseUrl":null,"brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Predicts whether Bitcoin price will go up or down over the next 15 minutes, given caller-supplied price observations.","exampleAgentPrompt":"Using the last 8 Bitcoin price observations I'm about to give you — with the window opening at $67,500 and closing at timestamp 1717200000 — predict whether BTC will go up or down over the next 15 minutes and give me the probability for each direction.","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Automated BTC trade signal generator","prompt":"I have 20 recent BTC price data points collected over the last hour, with the window open price at $68,200 and close timestamp at 1717205400. Can you tell me whether Bitcoin is leaning up or down for the next 15 minutes and how confident the model is?"},{"title":"Real-time DeFi bot direction check","prompt":"Before my on-chain DeFi bot places its next BTC position, run a 15-minute up/down prediction using these 12 price observations — window open at $66,800, close timestamp 1717210000 — and return the probability it goes up."},{"title":"Backtesting prediction accuracy","prompt":"For my backtesting run, feed in these 8 historical BTC price observations with window open at $65,000 and close timestamp 1717100000, and get the model's up/down lean and probability so I can compare it to what actually happened."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a JSON object with: the predicted directional lean ('up' or 'down'), probability estimates for both up and down directions (summing to 1.0), the model version used (delx-local-updown-v1), data quality score and label, number of observations used, horizon in minutes (15), and warnings (e.g. uncalibrated probability, not trading advice, caller-supplied prices not verified). The response schema is 'delx/prediction-updown-estimate/v1'.","failureModes":["Fewer than 8 observations supplied — minimum required for a valid estimate","Invalid or out-of-range price values (below 1e-12 or above 1e15) — schema validation error","Missing required observation fields (timestamp or price) — request rejected","Window close timestamp not a valid Unix integer — validation failure","Data quality too low — model may return low data quality score or degraded estimate","Fee basis points outside 0–1000 range — schema validation error"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need a fast, pay-per-call (no signup) short-term Bitcoin directional probability estimate using your own price data — especially useful for autonomous agents, trading bots, or backtesting workflows that already have recent BTC price observations and want a model-based signal without integrating a full market data subscription or managing API credentials.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-01T00:50:27.055Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"delx-commerce-bitcoin-15-minute-up-down-prediction-37c730f3"}