{"uid":"cap_-hDFcxeFsx4y9KgozOXou","slug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-ca844f1c","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds)","url":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev/v1/macro-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.01","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_tv_YHnueJRCD0FpPddXVI","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://preflight.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI prediction market topic","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the current live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for a US recession happening in 2025 — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Live crypto event odds check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $150k before the end of 2025 — I want the implied Yes and No odds and any whale sentiment data."},{"title":"Macro policy prediction market lookup","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show for the odds of the Fed cutting rates in September? Give me the implied probability, volume, and any notable whale positioning."},{"title":"AI regulation market monitoring","prompt":"Check Polymarket for the current implied probability that a major US AI regulation bill passes in 2025 — I want the live orderbook odds and sentiment."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic including implied Yes/No probabilities, current volume, and whale sentiment signals for macro, crypto, and AI prediction markets","failureModes":["Topic string matches no active Polymarket markets — returns empty or null results","Polymarket API unavailable or rate-limited — upstream fetch failure","Ambiguous topic keyword matches multiple markets — may return multiple or lowest-confidence result","Payment not processed — HTTP 402 returned if x402 USDC micropayment is not included"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need live, real-money prediction market probabilities from Polymarket specifically — particularly for macro events, crypto price milestones, AI policy, or geopolitical outcomes where crowd-sourced financial probability signals are more useful than news summaries or analyst forecasts","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T12:30:09.339Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"preflight-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-1f4a176d"}