{"uid":"cap_-WBFKLVb2t4eWX_wFOvE3","slug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-0e2755f9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha)","url":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev/v1/polymarket-alpha?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_volIx0AI4w8vcWeezMxaP","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://email-verify.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket odds and implied Yes/No probabilities right now for 'Will the Fed cut rates in September 2025?' — including volume and whale sentiment?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability check","prompt":"What does Polymarket currently show as the implied probability that Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election? Give me the Yes/No odds and current volume."},{"title":"Crypto price event forecasting","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket orderbook and implied probabilities for Bitcoin reaching $100,000 before the end of this year — I want to see what the market is pricing in."},{"title":"Macro event risk monitoring","prompt":"What are Polymarket's current odds on a US recession being declared in 2025? Show me the whale sentiment and trading volume too so I can gauge conviction."}],"resultDescription":"Returns live Polymarket data for the queried topic including implied Yes and No probabilities derived from the orderbook, current trading volume, and whale sentiment signals, enabling probabilistic assessment of macro, crypto, political, and AI events.","failureModes":["Topic not found on Polymarket — no active market exists for the queried keyword","Ambiguous topic matches multiple markets — may return the most relevant or an error","Polymarket API unavailability or rate limiting causing empty or partial responses","Payment failure (x402) blocking the request if USDC balance is insufficient","Stale data if market has very low liquidity or has recently closed"],"whenToPreferThis":"Choose this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates for discrete binary events — especially macro, crypto, political, or AI events — and want implied odds, orderbook depth, and whale positioning rather than a news summary or analyst opinion. Prefer over general search when you specifically need market-derived probability signals from Polymarket.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:21:19.743Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"email-verify-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-d2722219"}