{"uid":"cap_-FTKhkjQLJTmPM1Ocgnlq","slug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-5ad47de9","name":"Polymarket Live Prediction Market Odds & Implied Probability Feed","description":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbooks, implied Yes/No probabilities, volume, and whale sentiment for macro/crypto/AI events. (Live x402 v2, IETF MPP & MCP endpoint at https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds)","url":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev/v1/election-odds?utm_source=zero.xyz","method":"GET","headers":{},"bodySchema":{"type":"object","required":["topic"],"properties":{"topic":{"type":"string","minLength":1,"description":"Prediction market topic, event keyword, or question to query live Polymarket odds"}}},"responseSchema":{"type":"object"},"example":null,"exampleRequest":null,"tags":[],"displayCostAmount":"0.015","displayCostAsset":"USD","priceDynamic":false,"priceHint":null,"priceStatus":"priced","priceSource":"probe","requiresHandshake":false,"reviewCount":0,"rating":{"score":"0.00","successRate":"0.00","reviews":0,"stars":null,"state":"unrated"},"availabilityStatus":"unknown","priceObserved":null,"sessionDeposit":null,"pricing":{"kind":"static","summary":"$0.015/call","primary":{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"},"accepted":[{"kind":"static","protocol":"mpp","network":"tempo","amountUsd":"0.015","per":"call","confidence":"exact"}]},"paymentMethods":[{"uid":"pm_jP8tc9iD787iDolXZDyBg","protocol":"mpp","methodType":"crypto","chain":"tempo","mode":"charge","costAmount":"0.015","costPer":"request","priority":0,"asset":"0x833589fcd6edb6e08f4c7c32d4f71b54bda02913","unit":"request","depositMicros":null,"planRef":null}],"brandName":"x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-mpp","brandBaseUrl":"https://x402-audit.agentdiet.dev","brandDocsUrl":null,"whatItDoes":"Fetches live Polymarket prediction market orderbook data, implied Yes/No probabilities, trading volume, and whale sentiment for a given macro, crypto, or AI event topic.","exampleAgentPrompt":"What are the live Polymarket prediction market odds and implied Yes/No probabilities for Bitcoin ETF approval — including volume and what whale traders are betting on?","exampleUseCases":[{"title":"Election outcome probability lookup","prompt":"What are the current Polymarket odds on the next US presidential election — show me the implied Yes/No probabilities and how much volume is behind them?"},{"title":"Crypto event market sentiment check","prompt":"Pull the live Polymarket prediction market odds for Ethereum hitting $10,000 this year, including any whale sentiment signals."},{"title":"Fed rate cut probability research","prompt":"What is Polymarket currently pricing in as the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the next FOMC meeting? I want the implied odds and trading volume."}],"resultDescription":"Returns a structured object containing live Polymarket orderbook data for the queried topic, including implied Yes and No probabilities, market trading volume, and whale sentiment indicators for the relevant prediction market event.","failureModes":["Topic string too vague or unrecognized — no matching market found, returns empty or error response","Polymarket API downstream outage — stale or unavailable data","Rate limiting or payment failure via x402 — HTTP 402 returned if payment not processed","Ambiguous topic matching multiple markets — may return unexpected or aggregated results","Very new or illiquid markets may have sparse orderbook data or unreliable implied probabilities"],"whenToPreferThis":"Use this endpoint when you need real-time crowd-sourced probability estimates from Polymarket for macro, political, crypto, or AI events — especially when you want orderbook-level detail, whale sentiment, and volume alongside the implied Yes/No probability rather than just a news headline or analyst opinion.","instructions":null,"reviewSummary":null,"reviewSummaryHighlights":null,"reviewSummaryConcerns":null,"reviewSummaryGeneratedAt":null,"activationCount":0,"lastUsedAt":null,"lastSuccessfullyRanAt":null,"lastHealthCheckAt":"2026-10-21T07:24:18.222Z","isFirstParty":false,"canonicalSlug":"x402-audit-agentdiet-dev-polymarket-live-prediction-market-odds-e396ef40"}